4/1 MLB BREAKDOWN
MLB ARTICLE/CHEAT SHEET
DRAFTKINGS MAIN SLATE (9 GAMES)
BAL/TOR- TOR has led a lot of people down early this season. While I still like them today, they are behind the Astros and the Mariners for me today. Drury, Grichuk, Teoscar, Smoak, and Gurriel are all viable against a below average pitcher. The Baltimore lineup is ugly so unless you play a bunch of lineups, I do not see how you can stack this team or play anyone from it.
CHC/ATL We have two solid pitchers squaring off here and both teams are implied for 4 runs. It’s not like we are getting a discount on either offense as both teams are priced up on Draftkings. Kris Bryant hit .372 with a .721 SLG and a .349 ISO against lefties last season so he’s definitely my favorite Cub. Baez is the only other Cub I would play. I do not have a lot of interest in the Braves, their offense has been nonexistent through the first three games. Acuna, Freeman, and a cheap Markakis are my only targets.
NYM/MIA- Caleb Smith is a massive reverse splits pitcher. For his career, righties have only hit .198 against him while lefties hit .301. That is very rare for a lefty pitcher. Although, I am not looking to stack the Mets, Nimmo, Cano, and Conforto, and McNeil all look like sneaky plays since Smith is very reverse splits. I will throw Pete Alonso in there as well since he is really hot. No interest in MIA bats at all. Matz is my second favorite pitcher of the day.
COL/TBR- The Rockies go from hitting in Marlins Park to hitting in Tropicana Field. Both are extreme pitcher friendly parks so I will continue fading the Rockies bats especially with their elevated price tags. On the Rays, I like Meadows leading off, Tommy Pham, and Ji-Man Choi as a three man stack.
HOU/TEX- This definitely looks like a potential game stack. My preferred team to stack is Hou because they have the better offense and are facing the worse pitcher. Give me all the top 6 Astros except Brantley. On Tex, give me all the lefties since Peacock gave up a .261 avg and a .621 SLG to lefties compared to just a .204 avg and .318 SLG vs righties. I love Odor, Gallo, Mazara, Choo, and Cabrera as a 5 man stack.
BOS/OAK- The ballpark is not good for hitting, but Aaron Brooks is also not a good pitcher. It is not a huge sample size, but righties are hitting .365 with a .602 SLG and lefties are hitting .295 with a .483 SLG. Even though the Sox are expensive, this is the best spot they have had so far this season. No interest in the A’s bats against Price. I prefer to target OAK bats when they are facing a righty.
ARI/SDP- The ARI lineup looks ugly and facing a solid pitcher in a pitcher friendly park makes them easy to cross out on this slate. I am not looking to stack the Padres today, but I like Hosmer, Machado, and Myers are one offs if you are playing multiple lineups. All three have power especially against righties.
LAA/SEA- The decline of King Felix has been very quick. He has lost a lot of his velocity and struggles to command some of his pitches. Angels stack of Calhoun, Trout, Bour and Simmons is viable and I would run it back with a Mariners stack of Smith, Haniger, Santana, Encarnacion, and Beckham. SEA has been swinging a hot bat to start the season and Stratton has given up a .400+ SLG to both sides of the plate.
SFG-LAD Urias is my favorite pitching option today given the lack of quality arms. He has really good stuff and should cruise through the AAA lineup of the Giants. The Dodgers who hit lefties really well are Kike, Turner, Freese, and Pollock. They are currently projected to occupy the top 4 spots in the batting order so it seems like an easy stack.
Favorites at each position (NO ORDER)
PITCHER: Urias, Matz, Strahm, Hendricks, Price
1B- Justin Smoak, Justin Bour, Yuli Gurriel, Mitch Moreland, Edwin Encarnacion
2B- Lourdes Gurriel, Jose Altuve, Rougned Odor, Kike Hernandez, Dee Gordon
3B- Bradon Drury, Alex Bregman, Asdrubal Cabrera, Rafael Devers, Khris Bryant
SS- Lourdes Gurriel, Alex Bregman, Carlos Correa, Tim Beckham, Andrelton Simmons
OF- Randal Grichuk, Austin Meadows, George Springer, Joey Gallo, Nomar Mazara, Mookie Betts, JD Martinez, Wil Myers, Domingo Santana, Mallex Smith, Mitch Haniger, Jay Bruce, AJ Pollock,
Favorite 5 Stacks: Astros, Mariners, Rangers, Red Sox, Angels