• DFS PROCESS

5/6 MLB BREAKDOWN

CHRIS PADDACK

· Off the charts numbers so far this season. 29% strikeout rate, only 14 hits given up in 33 innings

· Great ballpark to pitch in and Mets offense is not very good

· Cheaper than the other studs and offers similar upside

· Lefties are hitting under .200 BA with a .310 SLG and righties are hitting under .100 in both BA and SLG


GERRITT COLE

· 2.93 XFIP with a 35% strikeout rate so far in 2019

· 7 of the 9 projected hitters in the lineup have a strikeout rate of 22% or higher

· Cole is also a heavy favorite which gives him more chance to get the win

· Very low total for the Royals


MARTIN PEREZ

· Should not be the second cheapest pitcher on DK today

· Been a different pitcher this season due to increase in velocity

· Much higher strikeout rate than in years past

· TOR strikes out a ton. Tellez has a 35.6% K rate, Drury has a 30.4% K rate, Grichuck and Teoscar both have a 28% + k rate, and the lineup has an aggregate k rate of 26.3%.


FIRST BASE

RHYS HOSKINS

· Phillies are one of my favorite stacks today facing a pitcher who only has a 17% k rate

· Hoskins is a reverse splits hitter and has a huge .356 ISO vs RHP this season

· Batting .299 vs RHP with 8/10 homeruns against righties

· Mikolas throws his sinker 23% to RHH and Hoskins has a 514 ISO, no that is not a typo, a 514 ISO against that pitch since 2016


PAUL GOLDSCHMIDT

· All 9 homeruns have come against RHP for Goldy. .522 SLG and a .261 ISO against RHP this season

· Velasquez throws his fastball 61% to RHH and Goldy crushes that pitch

· Cardinals have a high total and Velasquez struggles to go deep into games and Phillies bullpen has been bad lately


SECOND BASE

JOSE ALUVE

· Very cheap on DK. Same price as David Bote to put it into perspective

· Junis gives up a ton of homeruns and Astros have a high total

· Astros lineup is red hot and Junis is not a very good pitcher

· I’ll take my chances on Altuve at a cheap price


CESEAR HERNANDEZ

· Started slow, but has been hot the past few weeks

· Very cheap at $3800 and hits RHP well

· .293 BA vs righties this season

· A little bit of speed as well

· Going to be lower owned since he bats near the bottom of the lineup


THIRD BASE

ALEX BREGMAN

· On an absolute heater right now. 4 homeruns his past 3 games

· .301 BA with a .312 ISO and a .613 SLG vs RHP this season

· Only a 12% K rate on the season and should be able to put the ball in play every AB here

· Has the highest ISO on the team against the sinker which Junis now throws 20% of the time to RHH since he was getting destroyed only throwing 2 pitches


MATT CARPENTER

· Continues to be massively underpriced even though he bats leadoff and is facing a RHP

· Velasquez is much worse against LHH as he has given up a .231 ISO to lefties this season

· Vince throws the fastball 50% to LHH and Carpenter has a .301 ISO with the highest hard rate percentage on the team at 50%

· Got hot around this time last season where he turned into one of the best hitters in baseball for 3 months


SHORT STOP

JEAN SEGURA

· Just a very good hitter. .340 BA this season and rarely strikes out

· Gets on base at a very high percentage and should do the same thing today

· At least 2 hits in three of his past 4 games

· Feeling the Phillies offense breaking out today


CARLOS CORREA

· Back to crushing the baseball this season

· Love the Astros stack to complement the Phillies stack

· 3/5 with a HR against Junis

· Impressive .271 ISO against RHP this season


OUTFIELD

BRYCE HARPER

· Been slumping, but on a modest three game hitting streak

· Very cheap and is facing a pitcher who struggles to strike people out

· Tons of power against RHP and will break out of his slump soon


MOOKIE BETTS

· Been on fire over the past 2 weeks

· .368 BA with a .368 ISO vs lefties last season

· Tremendous ballpark to hit in and Red Sox offense has been heating up

MICHAEL BRANTLEY

· Crazy .347 BA vs righties this season with a .614 SLG and .267 ISO

· .364 BA at home this season

· Astros offense is on fire


JOSH REDDICK

· Cheaper alternative to Brantley

· .333 BA on the season and .341 BA to RHP

· Junis has been worse to lefties this season

· Can do some damage in the six spot


ODUBEL HERRERA

· Just returned from the injured list so if very cheap at $3600

· Fits in nicely as part of a Phillies stack

· Good numbers against RHP and has power

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